Trends of the Covid-19 pandemic based on confirmed cases in Chile from March 3 to June 20, 2020

Abstract

Given the situation that exists with the data provided by the previous Health Authority in relation to the unfortunate deaths attributed to COVID-19 and the abrupt delivery of hundreds of confirmed cases that remained unreported, it is a statistical-mathematical impossibility to make estimates of serious, responsible trend, made with as little bias as possible and, therefore, respectful of the reader. This will not be possible until the delivery of official data can demonstrate a certain distribution according to the epidemiological laws of the behavior of a pandemic (based on the characteristics of the virus in question and the conditions where it operates), conceptual clarity in the classification of compatriots affected by this pathology and the necessary reliability of the data provided by the Health Authorities. For this reason I have made the decision not to continue making estimates that could lead to greater confusion than that introduced by the previous health authority. The clarification of the behavior of this pandemic, a task that I assumed unilaterally, was driven by the characteristics assumed by this pandemic and by the unusual attitude towards it on the part of the Health Authority in our country. It was not to further confuse potential readers.